It’s not very often that someone not named Rachel Lucas links to me, and even rarer still when I disagree with that somebody, but here it is… courtesy of Gary Micander:
There has been an uproar lately about Hillary’s comments regarding Iran, and her promise to “obliterate” them if they were to attack Israel. At face value that comment makes me really mad. The idea that we, as United States Citizens, feel the need to preemptively destroy things that are not currently direct threats to us is ridiculous. I’m not advocating that we wait until the nuke has been launched to do something either. I’m just saying that in and of itself, Iran attacking Israel does not directly threaten us. It does not give us the right to “obliterate” a country because they have attacked another country and thus proven they have the ability.
What he misses is this:
CHRIS CUOMO: You said if Iran were to strike Israel, there would be ‘massive retaliation.” Scary words. Does ‘massive retaliation” mean you’d go into Iran? You would bomb Iran? Is that what that’s supposed to suggest?
CLINTON: Well, the question was, if Iran were to launch a nuclear attack on Israel, what would our response be? And I want the Iranians to know that if I am president, we will attack Iran. And I want them to understand that. Because it does mean that they have to look very carefully at their society. Because whatever stage of development they might be in their nuclear weapons program, in the next 10 years during which they might foolishly consider launching an attack on Israel, we would be able to totally obliterate them. That’s a terrible thing to say, but those people who run Iran need to understand that. Because that, perhaps, will deter them from doing something that would be reckless, foolish, and tragic.
Here’s the deal - there’s a big difference between Iran attacking Israel and Iran nuking Israel. To be perfectly honest, Israel is perfectly capable of defending itself from pretty much any conventional attack that could come its way from its neighbors. It’s proven this time and again. Israel, however, isn’t very big - as this rather handy simulator illustrates, a 4 megaton nuclear bomb would wipe Reno and Sparks combined off the map. To put this into perspective, the distance between the western edge of Reno and the eastern edge of Sparks is about 11 miles across. Israel, by comparison, is about 20 miles across at its thinnest near Tel Aviv. The largest nuclear bomb ever detonated, Tsar Bomba, weighed in at 100 megatons. Now, it goes without saying that Iran isn’t going to be throwing around any Tsar Bomba-sized bombs anytime soon, but one strategically placed atomic or nuclear device would effectively split Israel in half. That would be a little difficult to recover from without permanently appropriating the West Bank to serve as a nuclear bypass.
That said, it’s not because of Israel’s strategic position that we should have an issue if Iran nukes Israel. It’s because there is only one country in the entire history of the world that has ever used nuclear weapons against another nation, and, as that nation, we’d kind of like to keep it that way. Interestingly, so would the recipient of that nuclear assault, which brings up a very important point - nuclear war is a very, very bad thing. It is not merely regional - nuclear fallout knows no boundaries. Furthermore, if it’s okay for Iran to nuke Israel if the mood strikes them, what’s to stop Pakistan and India from getting fresh, or China from nuking, say, Taiwan? Is that really a world we want to live in?
The answer, of course, is no - nuclear war must never be acceptable. Ever. It’s way too destructive at even its most “benign” to be tolerated. We just can’t afford to treat nuclear war any other way. The best way that we’ve come up with to prevent just that has been deterrence - if you nuke us or any of our friends, we’ll nuke you and your friends, and vice-versa. Thankfully, Iran doesn’t need friends to keep us from nuking them - our society and culture actually values human life, so we’re not going to unilaterally nuke them. Even so, though, Iran, along with every other country, needs to realize that the next country to use nuclear weapons in an offensive capacity against another country will be the last… because, by the time we’re through with that country, nobody else will ever dare to do something like that again.
I don’t, and won’t, praise Hillary for much on this blog, but on this one issue, I’m in certain agreement with her. A nuclear attack against anyone, whether it’s the United States, Israel, or even lowly Liechtenstein, must never be tolerated. Until someone comes up with a better way than deterrence to convince even the worst tyrants that nuclear war is not an option, that’s what we will have to use, and the only way that works is if we threaten anybody who thinks about nuclear war with complete annihilation - and mean it.
If somebody has a better idea… I’m listening.